Viewing archive of Thursday, 14 November 2013

Geophysical report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary 2013 Nov 14 0245 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary

SGAS Number 318 Issued at 0245Z on 14 Nov 2013 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 13 Nov
A. Energetic Events
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 0120 0121 0125  1890 S11W63       Sf 1000                          
 0251 0251 0252                       110                           
 0408 0408 0408                       140                           
 0433 0442 0445  1890        C2.6     130                           
 0908 0913 0917  1890        C2.4     110                           
 1006 1006 1006                       110                           
 1007 1035 1039  1890        C3.5     170                           
 1153 1207 1212              C2.3     100                           
 1312 1317 1321  1897        C2.6     1100                          
 1457 1520 1541  1897        M1.4                                   
 1548 1548 1548                       140                           
 1748 1756 1806  1890        C4.0     560                           
 1935 1940 1944              C1.0     1000                          
 1942 1942 1942                       120                           
 2336 2336 2336                       210                           
B. Proton Events
None
C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary
Quiet.
D. Stratwarm
Not available
E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values)
10 cm 171  SSN 128  Afr/Ap 002/004   X-ray Background B9.3
Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs)
GT 1 MeV 4.3e+05   GT 10 MeV 2.2e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-13 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees)
Daily Electron Fluence
GT 2 MeV 1.80e+07 e/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-13 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees)
3 Hour K-indices
Boulder 0 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 Planetary 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 
F. Comments
  None

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
A transequatorial coronal hole was detected in an earth-facing position on Monday, 24 March 2025

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Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth

The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity. 

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13:55 UTC - Coronal hole

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