Viewing archive of Wednesday, 25 December 2013
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 359 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Dec 2013IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 26 Dec to 28 Dec
| Class M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Dec 123 Predicted 26 Dec-28 Dec 125/125/125 90 Day Mean 25 Dec 142
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Dec 002/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Dec 009/009 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Dec-28 Dec 009/010-009/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Dec to 28 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 35% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SKNuuk
Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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