Viewing archive of Friday, 24 January 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2014 Jan 24 1257 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 24 Jan 2014 until 26 Jan 2014
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
24 Jan 2014133005
25 Jan 2014130005
26 Jan 2014127006

Bulletin

No C-class flares were reported in the past 24 hours. Catania sunspot groups 14 and 17 (NOAA ARs 1957 and 1959) keep the beta-gamma configuration of the photospheric magnetic field, so we expect flaring activity on the low C-level. A long filament in the southern solar hemisphere passed the central meridian. If it erupts, the associated CME is very likely to arrive at the Earth. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 370 km/s) solar wind flow with average (4-5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 089, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 23 Jan 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux136
AK Chambon La Forêt012
AK Wingst009
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number102 - Based on 13 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Murmansk

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Kuopio
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.65nT).

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