Issued: 2014 Jan 24 1257 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
24 Jan 2014 | 133 | 005 |
25 Jan 2014 | 130 | 005 |
26 Jan 2014 | 127 | 006 |
No C-class flares were reported in the past 24 hours. Catania sunspot groups 14 and 17 (NOAA ARs 1957 and 1959) keep the beta-gamma configuration of the photospheric magnetic field, so we expect flaring activity on the low C-level. A long filament in the southern solar hemisphere passed the central meridian. If it erupts, the associated CME is very likely to arrive at the Earth. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 370 km/s) solar wind flow with average (4-5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 089, based on 12 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 136 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 009 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 102 - Based on 13 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
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Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |