Issued: 2014 Apr 15 1252 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
15 Apr 2014 | 155 | 006 |
16 Apr 2014 | 160 | 005 |
17 Apr 2014 | 163 | 004 |
Nine sunspot groups were reported by Catania today. Catania sunspot group 25 (NOAA AR 2036) was responsible for the most of the flaring activity during the past 24 hours. The strongest flare of this period, however, was produced by the Catania sunspot group 24 (NOAA AR 2035) that showed rapid magnetic flux emergence in the past several hours: the C8.6 flare peaking at 09:23 UT. We expect further flaring activity on the C-level from these two active regions, with a good chance for an M-class event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 350 km/s) solar wind flow with weak (2-3 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 102, based on 22 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 150 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 007 |
Estimated Ap | 007 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 081 - Based on 22 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 144.7 +10.5 |
Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |