Viewing archive of Saturday, 5 July 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2014 Jul 05 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Jul 2014 until 07 Jul 2014
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Jul 2014196003
06 Jul 2014202004
07 Jul 2014208003

Bulletin

There are currently 9 sunspot groups visible on the solar surface. NOAA 2104, 2108 and 2109 are the most prominent regions, but do not have magnetic delta's. This may change for NOAA 2108 and 2109, as these groups have shown a gradual increase in sunspot area over the last 24 hours. Four C-class flares were observed. NOAA 2108 produced 3 of them, including the largest event being a C4.2 flare peaking at 14:39UT (4 July). C-class flares are expected, with a chance on an M-class flare from NOAA 2104, 2108 and 2109. Solar wind speed declined from 330 to 290 km/s, with Bz varying between -1 and +3 nT. Geomagnetic condions were quiet and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 149, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Jul 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux188
AK Chambon La Forêt006
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number132 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere

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