Issued: 2014 Sep 18 1331 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
18 Sep 2014 | 125 | 007 |
19 Sep 2014 | 123 | 007 |
20 Sep 2014 | 120 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2169 produced an M1.2 flare with peak at 08:41 UT, with an associated Type II radio burst produced by a shock with estimated velocity of 537 km/s. No CME is visible yet in coronagraph images, but more data is needed yet to rule out a possible CME (due to the location of the source region, a CME would most probably not be geoeffective). A partial halo CME was seen yesterday at 17:37 UT off the northeastern limb of the Sun, this is a backsided event that will not affect the Earth. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 060, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 125 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 007 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 088 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
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Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 141.4 +7.2 |
Last 30 days | 137.9 +0.4 |