Issued: 2014 Nov 30 1226 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Nov 2014 | 178 | 006 |
01 Dec 2014 | 176 | 006 |
02 Dec 2014 | 178 | 005 |
NOAA 2222 produced 3 C-class flares over the last 24 hours, NOAA 2221 and 2219 each 2. The latter group was also the source of the strongest event, a C6.5 flare peaking at 13:49UT. These three groups have all some mixed magnetic polarities. The other groups were quiet. C-class flaring is expected, with a small chance on low-level M-class flares. CACTus reported two wide angle CMEs. The first wide CME (94 degrees) became visible in LASCO/C2 on 28 November at 22:00UT, and may be related to the filament eruption earlier that day. The other wide CME (110 degrees) was first observed on 29 November at 00:12UT. However, this seems to be a superposition of at least 2 separate CMEs, with the part first visible at 02:24UT related to a prominence eruption around 02:00UT at the northeast limb. None of the observed CMEs has an Earth-directed component. Solar wind speed was stable between 360 and 430 km/s. The IMF is directed towards the Sun, with Bz mostly positive varying between 0 and +10 nT, and an occasional negative excursion to -7 nT. The geomagnetic field was quiet (K<3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 101, based on 05 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 177 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 118 - Based on 21 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTA lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |