Issued: 2015 Jan 16 1228 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Jan 2015 | 131 | 007 |
17 Jan 2015 | 126 | 007 |
18 Jan 2015 | 122 | 013 |
Solar activity has been low, only minor C-class flaring in past 24 h. The largest one was a C2.6 flare from NOAA AR 2257 over the west limb (peak 16:49 UT on January 15). The situation is expected to be maintained. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet with solar wind speeds around 400 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field intensities of 7 nT. A small coronal hole may have an influence on the Earth in about 48 h, active conditions can be reached.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 045, based on 12 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 087 |
10cm solar flux | 131 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
AK Wingst | 005 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 044 - Based on 11 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Begin Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximum Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duration: 1 minutes. Peak flux: 190 sfu
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |