Issued: 2015 Jan 18 1237 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
18 Jan 2015 | 122 | 013 |
19 Jan 2015 | 122 | 007 |
20 Jan 2015 | 122 | 007 |
Solar activity has been very low, the ARs visible on disk have produce no C-class flares. Only a C1.0 flare occurred at 05:52 UT, it originated in an AR behind the east limb, rotating now into view. This AR may increase solar activity. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so. The fast speed solar wind from a small equatorial coronal hole may arrive today, it is not expected to produce more than active conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 041, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 122 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 032 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 04:29 UTC
Moderate M1.66 flare from sunspot region 4055
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.01)
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:39 UTC
Moderate M3.24 flare from sunspot region 4055
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/13 | M1.6 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 132.1 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 132.4 -10.7 |