Viewing archive of Sunday, 18 January 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Jan 18 1237 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Jan 2015 until 20 Jan 2015
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Jan 2015122013
19 Jan 2015122007
20 Jan 2015122007

Bulletin

Solar activity has been very low, the ARs visible on disk have produce no C-class flares. Only a C1.0 flare occurred at 05:52 UT, it originated in an AR behind the east limb, rotating now into view. This AR may increase solar activity. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so. The fast speed solar wind from a small equatorial coronal hole may arrive today, it is not expected to produce more than active conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 041, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Jan 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux122
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number032 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.02

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