Issued: 2015 Feb 08 1231 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
08 Feb 2015 | 153 | 014 |
09 Feb 2015 | 153 | 007 |
10 Feb 2015 | 150 | 013 |
Solar activity was low. Several low level C class flares occurred, originating from NOAA regions 2277 and 2280 as well as from the SE limb. The largest events were two C2.6 flares from NOAA region 2270 peaking at 5:18UT and 5:58 UT respectively. NOAA 2277, 2280 and 2281 all showed some growth over the period. Flaring is expected to continue at C level. A filament eruption occurred at the SE limb just after 15:00UT. An associated CME was recorded in coronagraph data. It was directed eastward and will not be effecting Earth. Solar wind values became enhanced over the period. Solar wind speed increased from around 400 km/s to around 500 to 550 km/s. Total magnetic field also increased from around 7 nT to about 9 to 10 nT. Bz was variable with negative peaks down to -9.3 nT. The phi angle was positive. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (NOAA Kp 2-3, local K Dourbes 1-3). Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to persist. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled with an isolated active period possible.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 064, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 153 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 053 - Based on 14 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Moderate M1.57 flare
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |