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C9 solar flare, sunspot region 2297, CME arrival?

A long duration C9 solar flare took place yesterday morning near sunspot region 2297 and launched a partial halo coronal mass ejection into space. While it is not a full halo coronal mass ejection, the coronal mass ejection was nonetheless very wide and caused an increase in the protons and electrons at Earth meaning that this coronal mass ejection will likely arrive at Earth. Based on the ejecta speed, the coronal mass ejection could arrive during the UTC evening hours of 17 March and cause a minor G1 geomagnetic storm.

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 20:16 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, Norilsk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (587.1 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (17.04nT), the direction is North (6.24nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-85nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C7.01

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Latest alerts

20:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 20:08 UTC

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20:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:00 UTC

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18:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 17:00 UTC

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 16:28 UTC

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14:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 13:58 UTC

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