Issued: 2015 Mar 30 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Mar 2015 | 142 | 009 |
31 Mar 2015 | 139 | 029 |
01 Apr 2015 | 136 | 013 |
Four sunspot groups are reported by Catania today. The strongest flare during the last 24 hours was the C4.7 flare peaking at 01:52 UT in the NOAA AR 2303 that just passed behind the north-west solar limb (and therefore does not have a Catania number anymore). We expect flaring activity on the low C-level in the next 48 hours. A partial halo CME was first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 18:24 UT on March 29. It had the angular width of around 190 degrees and the plane-of-the-sky projected speed of around 700 km/s. SDO/AIA data indicate that this was a far-side event. It will therefore not arrive at the Earth and have no geomagnetic consequences. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 340 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 6 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a fast flow from a low-latitude extension of the southern polar coronal hole later today or early tomorrow. Geomagnetic disturbance up to the minor storm level is expected.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 043, based on 17 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 145 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
AK Wingst | 012 |
Estimated Ap | 013 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 053 - Based on 12 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
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