Issued: 2015 Jun 28 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
28 Jun 2015 | 097 | 007 |
29 Jun 2015 | 096 | 007 |
30 Jun 2015 | 099 | 007 |
Solar activity has been low, NOAA AR 2371 still has potential for important flares although it is rotating over the west limb, it produced a C1.1 flare peaking at 06:12 UT. Recurrent active regions are rotating into view now and may increase solar activity in the coming hours. Proton levels are elevated but below the 10 pfu threshold. The CME from June 25 was less geoeffective than expected, only unsettled conditions were seen at planetary levels (and active locally at Dourbes) yesterday. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 48h.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 022, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 097 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 011 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 016 - Based on 21 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |