Issued: 2015 Jul 24 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
24 Jul 2015 | 091 | 013 |
25 Jul 2015 | 094 | 018 |
26 Jul 2015 | 097 | 009 |
There are currently 4 small sunspot groups visible on the solar disk. NOAA 2389, still close to the southeast limb, seems to show some mixed magnetic polarities. It was the source of the sole C-class flare of the period (C1.0 at 03:12UT). No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.
There's a chance on another isolated C-class flare.
Solar wind speed gradually declined from values between 500 and 550 km/s to its current 400 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -8 and +6 nT. Active episodes were observed between 17:00-21:00UT. A small equatorial positive coronal hole is transiting the central meridian.
Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an active period in response to the high speed stream from the positive CH on the northern hemisphere.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 037, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 029 |
10cm solar flux | 089 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
AK Wingst | 023 |
Estimated Ap | 019 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 033 - Based on 29 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Begin Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximum Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duration: 1 minutes. Peak flux: 190 sfu
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 147 -7.6 |
Last 30 days | 129.8 -18.9 |