Viewing archive of Thursday, 24 September 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Sep 24 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 24 Sep 2015 until 26 Sep 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
24 Sep 2015100014
25 Sep 2015097014
26 Sep 2015094011

Bulletin

Five active regions were reported today by NOAA. The flaring activity is below the C-level today, but seven C-class flares were detected yesterday, the strongest of them being the C3.2 flare peaking at 18:57 UT in the Catania sunspot group 39 (NOAA AR 2422). We expect flaring activity on the C-level, with a small chance for an M-class flare, in particular in the Catania sunspot group 39 (NOAA AR 2422). The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 460 km/s) solar wind flow with average (5-6 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet. Today we expect the arrival of a fast solar wind stream from a small equatorial coronal hole. Active to minor geomagnetic storm conditions may occur.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 094, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 23 Sep 2015

Wolf number Catania082
10cm solar flux///
AK Chambon La Forêt018
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number089 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio, Sodankylä
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.38nT).

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