Viewing archive of Sunday, 15 November 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Nov 15 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 15 Nov 2015 until 17 Nov 2015
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
15 Nov 2015107011
16 Nov 2015109022
17 Nov 2015111008

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low, there have been no C, M or X-class flares recorded. All Active Regions (AR) have remained stable, showing small amounts of flux emergence. A small Coronal Hole (CH) is currently located near disk center. There were no Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) observed over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low with a chance of C-class flares.

The solar wind speed has been steadily decreasing over the past 24 hours, from around 480 km /s to around 360 km /s. The total magnetic field has remained stable around 5 nT over the past 24 hours. The Bz component has oscillated between -5 nT and +6 nT over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions have been mainly quiet over the past 24 hours (NOAA Kp 1-3, local K Dourbes 1-3). A small coronal hole (CH) currently located near solar disk center may enhance geo-activity in the next few days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 14 Nov 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux106
AK Chambon La Forêt///
AK Wingst009
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number038 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU, Yellowknife, NT
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.02

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