Issued: 2015 Nov 29 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
29 Nov 2015 | 094 | 006 |
30 Nov 2015 | 091 | 007 |
01 Dec 2015 | 089 | 026 |
The Sun did not produce any C flares in the past 24 hours. There is a 50% chance of C flares within the next 24 hours. In the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed detected by ACE increased from 320 to 470 km/s and is currently around 420 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 4 and 15 nT and is currently around 6 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to active (K Dourbes between 1 and 4; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes < 4) conditions are expected on November 29 and 30. Active (K Dourbes = 4) to minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 5) are possible on December 1, due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 050, based on 06 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 097 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 009 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 050 - Based on 20 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |