Issued: 2015 Dec 16 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Dec 2015 | 124 | 008 |
17 Dec 2015 | 126 | 007 |
18 Dec 2015 | 128 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2468 produced two C flares in the past 24 hours. The brightest flare was a C6.6 flare which peaked at 8:34 UT on December 16. C flares are possible within the next 24 hours, with a chance for an M flare. The speed of the solar wind gradually increased from about 530 to 650 km/s, and decreased again with current values near 540 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 3 and 10 nT, and is currently around 4 nT. During the past 24 hours, quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels were registered (K Dourbes between 1 and 3, NOAA Kp between 1 and 4). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 16, 17, and 18.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 059, based on 06 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 100 |
10cm solar flux | 119 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 020 |
AK Wingst | 020 |
Estimated Ap | 018 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 062 - Based on 16 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:33 UTC
Moderate M1.99 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.93)
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:52 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 11:42 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/21 | M1.9 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/21 | Kp5+ (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 120 -14.2 |
Last 30 days | 111.9 -31 |