Viewing archive of Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Jan 12 1235 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Jan 2016 until 14 Jan 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Jan 2016108008
13 Jan 2016106007
14 Jan 2016105007

Bulletin

Solar activity is low, with no C-class flares reported during last 24 hours. The strongest reported flare was B6.8 flare from the Catania sunspot group 6 (NOAA AR 2483). The C-class flares are still possible, but not very probable, in the coming hours. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours. The Earth is currently inside the fast solar wind with the speed of about 580 km/s. The fast flow from the narrow and elongated low latitude coronal hole (between N12 and N34) which crossed the central meridian in the early morning of January 09, arrived at the Earth at about 12:30 UT on January 11. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is still slightly elevated, currently about 8 nT. Due to the intervals of the negative value of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (down to -7 nT) in the evening of January 11, disturbed geomagnetic conditions were reported (NOAA reported a Kp =4 and Dourbes reported K=4). Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet and are expected to remain so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 040, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Jan 2016

Wolf number Catania043
10cm solar flux108
AK Chambon La Forêt029
AK Wingst017
Estimated Ap016
Estimated international sunspot number049 - Based on 15 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

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