Issued: 2016 Mar 12 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Mar 2016 | 094 | 011 |
13 Mar 2016 | 092 | 007 |
14 Mar 2016 | 090 | 007 |
Solar activity has been very low. One C1.1 flare with peak at 06:19 UT from NOAA AR 2513. A partial halo CME with angular width of 130 degrees was first seen leaving the Sun at 00:12 UT by LASCO-C2 (after a data gap). This CME is most probably backsided (no clear source seen on the visible disc, but there's a gap in STEREO data to confirm a backsided source) and won't affect the Earth. A high speed stream caused a geomagnetic storm on March 11 (Kp reached 6 and the local K at Dourbes 5). Solar wind speed is descending now (currently at 500 km/s, with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude at 5 nT) and mostly unsettled conditions should be expected in the next 24h.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 061, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 094 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 035 |
AK Wingst | 020 |
Estimated Ap | 022 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 042 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 138.8 +1.3 |