Issued: 2016 Apr 07 1244 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 Apr 2016 | 087 | 009 |
08 Apr 2016 | 088 | 019 |
09 Apr 2016 | 088 | 007 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has tendency to increase with respect to the previous 2 days. Two slow Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) detected yesterday at 15:24 UT and 23:28 UT are not expected to affect the Earth. Filament eruption has been occurred today at 08:24 UT at the Eastern limb. There are two ARs currently on the solar disk; AR 2528 (Macintosh class:Gro; Mag.type:Beta) and one returning AR, which has just appeared at the Eastern limb. This region produced two C class flares yesterday and three more today. The largest flare was a C1.9 class flare, which peaked at 11:13 UT this morning. 10.7 cm radioflux index slightly increased with respect to the previous days. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours, however the probability of C-class flares to occur slightly increased with respect to previous days. The total magnetic field strength in solar wind has increased slightly over the past 24 hours, from 5 nT to till 10 nT. The Bz component also increased from 0 to 7 nT over the past 6 hours and remains positive. The systematic significant growth of solar wind density over last 24 hrs is also observed. The solar wind speed has remained stable varying around 400 km/s over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain low the next day. We can expect to encounter a high speed stream in approximately 1 days time.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 018, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 023 |
10cm solar flux | 087 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 007 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 020 - Based on 32 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Begin Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximum Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duration: 1 minutes. Peak flux: 190 sfu
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 147 -7.6 |
Last 30 days | 129.8 -18.9 |