Issued: 2016 May 26 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 May 2016 | 093 | 008 |
27 May 2016 | 090 | 018 |
28 May 2016 | 089 | 010 |
NOAA 2548 produced the strongest flare of the period, a B9.3 flare peaking at 21:17UT on 25 May. The region is slowly developing, with a few minor filaments near the main spot and some areas of mixed magnetic polarities. NOAA 2546 was quiet and is approaching the western solar limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.
There's a chance on an isolated C-class flare.
Solar wind speed continued its gradual decline from an initial 400 km/s to around 330 km/s by the end of the period. Bz varied between -4 and +4 nT, being mostly positive. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field was directed away from the Sun. Quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed.
Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected until the arrival of the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) associated with the wind stream from the small negative southern coronal hole (CH). A sector boundary crossing may precede or coincide with the CIR. The arrival of these structures is expected for 26 or 27 May, and may result in active geomagnetic conditions with a slight chance on a minor storming episode. Effects from the wind stream from the negative northern CH are expected for 28 May.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 033, based on 28 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 048 |
10cm solar flux | 094 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 005 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 031 - Based on 19 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTA lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Begin Time: 08/04/2025 05:53 UTC Estimated Velocity: 456km/sec.
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 06:02 UTC
A southern hemisphere coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 20:39 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 151.3 +17.1 |
Last 30 days | 135.2 -4.5 |