Viewing archive of Monday, 25 July 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Jul 25 1245 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 25 Jul 2016 until 27 Jul 2016
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

10cm fluxAp
25 Jul 2016082016
26 Jul 2016080007
27 Jul 2016078007

Bulletin

One M class flare was recorded in the past 24 h: M1.9 peaking at 17:43 UT on July 25 from NOAA AR 2567. As this AR rotated over the west limb, the visible Sun became spotless and flaring activity greatly reduced. C-class flares can still be expected from this AR in the coming hours. Geomagnetic conditions were mostly active during past 24 h due to (most likely) a small ICME that reached ACE around 15:00 UT on July 24 (corresponding to a CME that erupted on July 20). Solar wind speed is currently at 450 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT. Active conditions are possible within 48h in response to the arrival of the high speed stream from a northern coronal hole, as well as of the low- probability glancing blow from the 23 July CME.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 24 stations.

Solar indices for 24 Jul 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux082
AK Chambon La Forêt033
AK Wingst018
Estimated Ap018
Estimated international sunspot number014 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
24173017431812----M1.909/2567

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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