Issued: 2016 Jul 29 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
29 Jul 2016 | 070 | 021 |
30 Jul 2016 | 072 | 007 |
31 Jul 2016 | 076 | 007 |
Flaring activity has been very low, no C-class flares in past 24 h. There are two active regions on the visible solar disc, Catania 13 (no NOAA number) that emerged close to disk center yesterday and Catania 14 (NOAA AR 2570) that rotated over the east limb. No large flares expected (although C-class flares are possible). A filament erupted close to disk center starting around 16:00 UT on July 28, it produced a slow and faint CME directed to the southwest first seen at 22:36 UT on LASCO C2. This CME could have an Earth directed component, that could reach the Earth on August 2. Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions were registered in the past 24 h, due to the effect of a high speed stream that reached 600 km/s with magnetic field intensities up to 20 nT (without long periods of negative Bz). Solar wind speed is still high, at 600 km/s, with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT. Unsettled to active conditions are expected for the next 48 h.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 021, based on 23 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 023 |
10cm solar flux | 070 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 026 |
AK Wingst | 017 |
Estimated Ap | 019 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 007 - Based on 36 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |