Viewing archive of Friday, 19 August 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Aug 19 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 19 Aug 2016 until 21 Aug 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
19 Aug 2016082005
20 Aug 2016081017
21 Aug 2016079006

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low in the past 24 hours. Only one B1.3 flare was observed yesterday 18-Aug-2016 (peaking at 14:14 UT). Three additional active regions are presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc. Their photospheric magnetic field configuration is simple (beta and alpha configuration). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Solar proton flux intensity is expected to lie within the background levels. Solar activity is expected to be low with small probability for C-class flares. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR varied between 390 and 350 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (Bt) fluctuated between 4 and 6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet in the past 24 hours (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Geomagnetic activity is expected to continue at very low levels today (19-08-2016). Active to minor geomagnetic storm conditions (K Dourbes = 3-4) are possible from 20-Aug-2016 due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream associated with a coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 051, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 18 Aug 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux082
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number048 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK

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