Issued: 2016 Aug 19 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
19 Aug 2016 | 082 | 005 |
20 Aug 2016 | 081 | 017 |
21 Aug 2016 | 079 | 006 |
Solar activity was very low in the past 24 hours. Only one B1.3 flare was observed yesterday 18-Aug-2016 (peaking at 14:14 UT). Three additional active regions are presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc. Their photospheric magnetic field configuration is simple (beta and alpha configuration). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Solar proton flux intensity is expected to lie within the background levels. Solar activity is expected to be low with small probability for C-class flares. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR varied between 390 and 350 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (Bt) fluctuated between 4 and 6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet in the past 24 hours (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Geomagnetic activity is expected to continue at very low levels today (19-08-2016). Active to minor geomagnetic storm conditions (K Dourbes = 3-4) are possible from 20-Aug-2016 due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream associated with a coronal hole.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 051, based on 19 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 082 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 048 - Based on 31 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
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Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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