Issued: 2016 Aug 27 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
27 Aug 2016 | 080 | 006 |
28 Aug 2016 | 080 | 015 |
29 Aug 2016 | 078 | 037 |
Solar activity was very low with X-ray flux below C level and no flares observed. NOAA region 2581 grew slightly, while the other regions were in decay. X-ray flux is expected to remain below C level. Solar proton flux is at background levels and expected to remain so. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph data. A transequatorial positive polarity coronal hole is currently transiting the central meridian and is expected to become geoeffective on August 29.
Solar wind conditions were near nominal with solar wind speed currently around 425 km/s. Total magnetic field was steady around 5nT with a variable Bz component. The magnetic field phi angle indicates a negative sector throughout the period. Solar wind conditions are first expected to remain nominal with later tomorrow an expected boundary crossing ahead of the onset of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 1-3) and expected to remain so the next 24 hours. Afterwards conditions are expected to rise to unsettled to active and later unsettled to minor storm levels with the expected sector change and high speed stream influence.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 082 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
AK Wingst | 009 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 049 - Based on 30 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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A southern hemisphere coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 20:39 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:50 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 148.7 +14.5 |
Last 30 days | 134.1 -5.6 |