Issued: 2016 Oct 23 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
23 Oct 2016 | 078 | 014 |
24 Oct 2016 | 079 | 014 |
25 Oct 2016 | 079 | 011 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. there were no significant flares and all Active Regions (AR) have shown low levels of activity. There was a small Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) produced by/near AR 2602 (Mcintosh class:Axx; Mag. type:Alpha) which is currently located on the West Solar limb, the CME is not expected to hit the Earth. No Earth directed CMEs have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has been slowly increasing from 340 to 450 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated around 5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated around 0 nT, between -5 nT and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 0-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A small coronal hole located at central latitudes is currently close to the West limb and the resultant High Speed Stream (HSS) and Co-rotating Interaction Region (CIR) has slightly enhanced solar wind speeds. A chance for slightly enhanced geomagnetic activity should persist throughout the day. A large positive polarity northern coronal hole extending to low latitudes is currently located near disk centre and will enhance solar activity next week.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 017, based on 09 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 078 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 004 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 028 - Based on 21 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |