Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 November 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Nov 10 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Nov 2016 until 12 Nov 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Nov 2016080014
11 Nov 2016080029
12 Nov 2016080017

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low. No C flares were observed in the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain very low (no C flaring) for the next 24 hours. Solar wind speed registered by DSCOVR has shown a gradual rise in the past 24 hours from about 340 to 370 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) rose gradually from about 5 to 11 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on November 10. Active to minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 5 to 6) are possible on November 11 and 12, with a slight chance for moderate storm conditions (K Dourbes = 6) due to the expected arrival of a negative coronal hole high speed stream.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 031, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 09 Nov 2016

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux080
AK Chambon La Forêt015
AK Wingst009
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 09 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Moscow, Perm, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.16nT), the direction is moderately South (-14.28nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-150nT)

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC

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