Issued: 2016 Nov 10 1231 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
10 Nov 2016 | 080 | 014 |
11 Nov 2016 | 080 | 029 |
12 Nov 2016 | 080 | 017 |
Solar activity was very low. No C flares were observed in the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain very low (no C flaring) for the next 24 hours. Solar wind speed registered by DSCOVR has shown a gradual rise in the past 24 hours from about 340 to 370 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) rose gradually from about 5 to 11 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on November 10. Active to minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 5 to 6) are possible on November 11 and 12, with a slight chance for moderate storm conditions (K Dourbes = 6) due to the expected arrival of a negative coronal hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 031, based on 17 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 000 |
10cm solar flux | 080 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
AK Wingst | 009 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 09 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Surgut, SyktyvkarCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC
Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 13:21 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 125GW at 14:01 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/15 | M1.2 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/15 | Kp6+ (G2) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 124.1 -10.1 |
Last 30 days | 124.7 -16.6 |