Viewing archive of Sunday, 13 November 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Nov 13 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 13 Nov 2016 until 15 Nov 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
13 Nov 2016080017
14 Nov 2016082016
15 Nov 2016082008

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low. No C flares were observed in the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain very low (no C flaring) for the next 24 hours. In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed observed by DSCOVR varied between about 630 and 770 km/s, under the influence of a high speed stream associated with a negative coronal hole. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) gradually rose from about 6 to 9 nT and gradually decreased again to current levels of about 5 nT. No extended periods of negative Bz were registered. Quiet to active conditions (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 3 and 4) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on November 13, 14 and 15, with a slight chance for minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 5).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 038, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 12 Nov 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux078
AK Chambon La Forêt032
AK Wingst020
Estimated Ap021
Estimated international sunspot number013 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.59

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