Viewing archive of Tuesday, 22 November 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Nov 22 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 22 Nov 2016 until 24 Nov 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
22 Nov 2016075027
23 Nov 2016075028
24 Nov 2016076017

Bulletin

Solar activity has been very low, no C-class flares in past 24 h. NOAA AR 2610 has rotated over the west limb and NOAA AR 2611 has decayed into a plage, the sun is spotless. Solar activity is expected to remain low.

Proton levels are low and there were no Earth directed CMEs in past 24 h.

Solar wind speed is at 460 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensity of 12 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet, but the rise in speed of more than 100 km/s between yesterday and today, together with increased temperatures and magnetic fields, mark the arrival of the compression region ahead of the expected fast speed stream. There are two coronal holes that will affect the Earth (it was one in the previous rotation, but has now divided and shrank), geomagnetic conditions will increase up to up to minor storm conditions (with possible isolated major storm periods) in the next 48 h.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 21 Nov 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux075
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 14 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Vorkuta
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.08

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