Viewing archive of Tuesday, 29 November 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Nov 29 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 29 Nov 2016 until 01 Dec 2016
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
29 Nov 2016088004
30 Nov 2016088003
01 Dec 2016087003

Bulletin

The strongest event of the period was a C7.5 flare peaking at 07:10UT. It was produced by new sunspot region NOAA 2615 (S08E60), which is slowly developing. This region is still small but shows some magnetic mixing. NOAA 2612 and developing region NOAA 2614 were quiet. NOAA 2611 was very dynamic and managed to produce a B9 flare at 01:55UT from behind the west limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

C-class flares are possible, with a slight chance on an isolated M-class flare pending further evolution of NOAA 2615.

Solar wind speed leveled at values near 450 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -5 nT and +4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. Solar wind parameters are expected to evolve further to nominal values.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, and is expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 049, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 28 Nov 2016

Wolf number Catania084
10cm solar flux085
AK Chambon La Forêt017
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number046 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Trondheim
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.05

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