Issued: 2016 Dec 02 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
02 Dec 2016 | 085 | 002 |
03 Dec 2016 | 084 | 003 |
04 Dec 2016 | 084 | 005 |
Only two B-class flares were observed during the period, the strongest a B2.9 at 17:11UT by NOAA 2612. There are currently 4 sunspot groups visible on the solar disk, mostly small and with relatively simple magnetic configurations. NOAA 2615 remains the most prominent and complex region. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.
Quiet flaring conditions are expected, with a chance on an isolated C-class event.
Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels, except during the brief passage of a transient structure around midnight. Current solar wind speed values are around 380 km/s. Bz has been fluctuating between -3 nT and +4 nT during the entire period. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. Solar wind parameters are expected to remain at nominal values. The particle stream from a small positive coronal hole (CH; S15W18) may mildly affect the earth-environment late on 4 or on 5 December.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels and is expected to remain so. Unsettled conditions are possible on 4 or 5 December in response to the arrival of the CH's particle stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 065, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 085 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
AK Wingst | 001 |
Estimated Ap | 001 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 060 - Based on 21 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
SurgutCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC
Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 13:21 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 125GW at 14:01 UTC
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