Viewing archive of Saturday, 4 March 2017
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 63 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2017IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 05 Mar to 07 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Mar 075 Predicted 05 Mar-07 Mar 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 04 Mar 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar 015/019 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar 016/021 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar 011/012-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar to 07 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 15% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 45% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Surgut, SyktyvkarCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Kazan, Moscow, Perm, YaroslavlLatest news
CME arrival, G3 storm watch
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
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Latest alerts
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Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC
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