Viewing archive of Saturday, 4 March 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Mar 04 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 04 Mar 2017 until 06 Mar 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
04 Mar 2017075015
05 Mar 2017074013
06 Mar 2017074011

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low during the period, with no C-class flares or higher reported. The remnants of sunspot group NOAA2641 are barely visible. NOAA2638 rotated over the west limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Quiet flaring conditions are expected to continue.

Earth was still under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from the negative trans-equatorial coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed varied between 720 and 620 km/s, ending the period with values around 690 km/s. Bz mostly fluctuated between -5 nT and +6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was directed towards the Sun. A small positive equatorial coronal hole (CH) is near the central meridian, but the effect on the geo- environment is expected to be limited.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels, with Kp at minor storming during the 00-03UT and 03-06UT intervals. Quiet to active levels are expected, with a chance on another minor storming interval.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 03 Mar 2017

Wolf number Catania068
10cm solar flux078
AK Chambon La Forêt028
AK Wingst017
Estimated Ap018
Estimated international sunspot number040 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 15:26 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Yakutsk

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following low latitude regions in the near future

Novosibirsk
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.1nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.37nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-147nT)

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