Issued: 2017 Mar 04 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
04 Mar 2017 | 075 | 015 |
05 Mar 2017 | 074 | 013 |
06 Mar 2017 | 074 | 011 |
Solar activity was very low during the period, with no C-class flares or higher reported. The remnants of sunspot group NOAA2641 are barely visible. NOAA2638 rotated over the west limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.
Quiet flaring conditions are expected to continue.
Earth was still under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from the negative trans-equatorial coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed varied between 720 and 620 km/s, ending the period with values around 690 km/s. Bz mostly fluctuated between -5 nT and +6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was directed towards the Sun. A small positive equatorial coronal hole (CH) is near the central meridian, but the effect on the geo- environment is expected to be limited.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels, with Kp at minor storming during the 00-03UT and 03-06UT intervals. Quiet to active levels are expected, with a chance on another minor storming interval.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 068 |
10cm solar flux | 078 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 028 |
AK Wingst | 017 |
Estimated Ap | 018 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 040 - Based on 16 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
SurgutCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
YakutskCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following low latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC
Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 13:21 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 125GW at 14:01 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:13 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/15 | M1.2 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/15 | Kp6+ (G2) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 124.1 -10.1 |
Last 30 days | 124.7 -16.6 |