Viewing archive of Thursday, 15 June 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Jun 15 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 15 Jun 2017 until 17 Jun 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
15 Jun 2017075006
16 Jun 2017075015
17 Jun 2017076008

Bulletin

Catania reports two sunspot groups on the visible side of the solar disc, group 32 (NOAA AR 2662) and group 33 (not numbered by NOAA). Only reported flare in the last 24 hours was B1.9 flare which originated from the Catania sunspot group 33 (peaked at 19:07 UT on June 14). All the observed CMEs, during the last 24 hours, were narrow and will not arrive to the Earth.

The Earth is presently inside the slow solar wind with the speed of about 440 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 4 nT. Two large coronal holes, one on the north solar hemisphere and one on the south solar hemisphere, have reached central meridian yesterday evening. The associated fast solar wind is expected to arrive at the Earth early in the morning of June 18. The fast solar wind associated with the large equatorial coronal hole which has reached the central meridian in the morning of June 12, is expected to arrive at the Earth early morning of June 16. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet, we expect unsettled to active conditions due to arrival of the fast solar wind starting from June 16.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 031, based on 25 stations.

Solar indices for 14 Jun 2017

Wolf number Catania011
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number012 - Based on 37 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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