Issued: 2018 Feb 17 1256 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
17 Feb 2018 | 072 | 019 |
18 Feb 2018 | 071 | 010 |
19 Feb 2018 | 070 | 007 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2699 (Mcintosh class:Hax; Mag. type:Alpha) has reached the west limb. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Over the next 24 hours there is a small chance of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has increased from around 350 to 500 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has slowly decreased from around 10 to 5 nT, the Bz component has fluctuated between -6 and +6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A High Speed Stream (HSS) associated with a large coronal hole that passed the central meridian a couple of days ago has enhanced solar wind speeds at Earth. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 016 |
10cm solar flux | 072 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 007 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 014 - Based on 28 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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A southern hemisphere coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 20:39 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 148.7 +14.5 |
Last 30 days | 134.1 -5.6 |