Issued: 2018 Mar 15 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
15 Mar 2018 | 068 | 015 |
16 Mar 2018 | 068 | 011 |
17 Mar 2018 | 069 | 005 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant flares have been recorded. No Active Regions (AR) are present on the disk. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. A low latitude coronal hole is currently located in the western hemisphere. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has been slowly increasing from around 340 to 470 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 3.0 nT and 12.0 nT. The Bz component has fluctuated between -10.0 and +8.0 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) over the past 24 hours. A low latitude negative polarity northern polar coronal hole has caused increased solar wind speeds at Earth and combined with negative Bz has enhanced geomagnetic activity, which may persist over the next few hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 000 |
10cm solar flux | 068 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 027 |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 011 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 32 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ArkhangelskCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:50 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:20 UTC
Moderate M1.05 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.05)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 148.7 +14.5 |
Last 30 days | 132.7 -9.9 |