Viewing archive of Monday, 7 May 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 May 07 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 07 May 2018 until 09 May 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
07 May 2018068017
08 May 2018069015
09 May 2018069008

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. Active region NOAA 2708 is currently the only sunspot group visible on the solar disk. The source region of the 3 May CME (farside) is about to rotate over the east limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels, with a slight chance on a C-class flare.

Earth is under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from an elongated negative polarity equatorial coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed mostly undulated between 610 and 710 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -6 and +6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed towards the Sun, with some "away" excursions from 07UT onwards. Mostly unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions were observed, with an isolated minor storming episode in the Kp index during the 21-24UT interval.

Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an isolated minor storming episode.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 015, based on 23 stations.

Solar indices for 06 May 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux067
AK Chambon La Forêt034
AK Wingst026
Estimated Ap029
Estimated international sunspot number015 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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