Issued: 2018 Jun 26 1244 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 Jun 2018 | 073 | 025 |
27 Jun 2018 | 072 | 020 |
28 Jun 2018 | 071 | 010 |
Solar activity is low and there were no B-class or stronger flares reported during last 24 hours. Since there is presently only one active region observed on the visible side of the solar disc, Catania sunspot group 88 (NOAA AR 2715), we expect low flaring activity to persist in the coming hours. Coronagraph images do not show signatures of the Earth directed CMEs, and the solar protons remained at the background level. As expected, the solar wind speed increased this morning and it presently amounts about 560 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field showed smooth increase, observed starting from midday of June 25, which was followed by strong variation of its Bz component. All this, together with the observed sector change, indicates arrival of the fast solar wind associated with the recurrent coronal hole (the low latitude extent of the southern polar coronal hole which is reaching even up to the solar equator). Due to the longer interval of negative value of the Bz component, both local station at Dourbes and also NOAA reported disturbed geomagnetic conditions (K=5 and Kp=5, respectively). The geomagnetic conditions are presently unsettled to active and we expect such geomagnetic conditions to persist in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 015, based on 25 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 073 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 028 |
AK Wingst | /// |
Estimated Ap | 013 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 017 - Based on 34 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 23:16 UTC
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.05)
Moderate M1.08 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.04)
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/11 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 141.4 +7.2 |
Last 30 days | 137.9 +0.4 |