Viewing archive of Tuesday, 2 October 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Oct 02 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Oct 2018 until 04 Oct 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Oct 2018070007
03 Oct 2018069010
04 Oct 2018068010

Bulletin

One active region visible on the solar disc, NOAA 2723 with beta magnetic field configuration. No C-class flares in past 24 h. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is at 480 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels between 15:00 UT and 17:00 UT on October 1 at Dourbes (K=4), at planetary levels Kp reached 4 between 12:00 UT and 15:00 UT on October 1 and between 00:00 UT and 03:00 UT on October 2. This was due to solar wind of relatively high speed (reaching 530 km/s) with interplanetary magnetic fields up to 10 nT with oscillating periods including negative Bz. Quiet to unsettled conditions for the coming hours are foreseen. The fast solar wind associated with a small negative polarity equatorial coronal hole is expected to arrive on October 4 (or late on October 3), causing up to active geomagnetic conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 014, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Oct 2018

Wolf number Catania017
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt021
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap011
Estimated international sunspot number017 - Based on 25 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK

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