Viewing archive of Wednesday, 2 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 02 1238 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Jan 2019 until 04 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Jan 2019072002
03 Jan 2019073004
04 Jan 2019074006

Bulletin

The new bipolar active region (NOAA 2732) emerged bewteen the central meridian and the West limb and produced a B2.8 flare peaking at 01:50 UT today. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed over the last 24 hours. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels with small probabailty for C-class flares. Solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 400 till 350 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -3.9 and +2 nT. The geomagnetic conditions were quiet. Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions can be expected from January 4th due to possible influence of the wind stream associated with the negative polarity equatorial coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 016, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number013 - Based on 12 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.01nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.43nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-150nT)

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