Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 03 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 03 Jan 2019 until 05 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
03 Jan 2019075002
04 Jan 2019077004
05 Jan 2019079008

Bulletin

A new active region (NOAA 2732) is visible on the West limb and produced B1.2 flare peaking at 18:38 UT yesterday. No geoeffective coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed over the last 24 hours. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels with small probabailty for C-class flares. Solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 350 till 300 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -2.5 and +2.5 nT. The geomagnetic conditions were quiet. Unsettled geomagnetic conditions can be expected today later (January 3). Active geomagnetic conditions can be expected from January 6 due to possible influence of the wind stream associated with the negative polarity equatorial coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 017, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 02 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania016
10cm solar flux075
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap001
Estimated international sunspot number017 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Reykjavik
Trondheim
Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-5.04nT).

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