Viewing archive of Friday, 18 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 18 1233 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Jan 2019 until 20 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Jan 2019070005
19 Jan 2019070007
20 Jan 2019070007

Bulletin

Solar X-ray flux remained below B level throughout the period. The Solar disk is again spotless and X-ray flux is expected to continue to be below C level.

No earth directed CMEs have been recorded.

The proton flux levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind conditions were slightly elevated with solar wind speed reaching a maximum of 526 km/s but now back at around 450 km/s. Total magnetic field saw a maximum of close to 11nT before starting a gentle decaying trend to a now nominal value below 5nT. Bz was mostly variable with a southward peak of -8nT. The slightly elevated Solar wind conditions are expected to return to an ambient regime.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 0-3, NOAA Kp 1-2) and are expected to be quiet over the next days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.06nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.45nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-143nT)

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Latest alerts

19:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 18:38 UTC

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18:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 18:28 UTC

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC

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15:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC

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14:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC

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