Viewing archive of Thursday, 17 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 17 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 17 Jan 2019 until 19 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
17 Jan 2019070015
18 Jan 2019070011
19 Jan 2019071007

Bulletin

Solar X-ray flux remained below B level throughout the period. The sunspots that emerged yesterday in the North-Western quadrant were short lived and the Solar disk is again spotless. X-ray flux is expected to continue to be below C level.

No earth directed CMEs have been recorded.

The proton flux levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind was mostly nominal, slowly increasing to around 400 km/s until after 11:00 UT when it rose more suddenly to close to 490 km/s. Total magnetic field was first within 4-7nT before increasing to close to 10nT between 8:00 and 10:00 UT. Bz saw a longer period period with values down to -7nT before midnight but has been positive recently. These slight enhancements may continue over the next days.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 0-3). Quiet conditions are expected over the next days with initially some unsettled periods possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst///
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 15 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G3 - Strong geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 7
Threshold reached: 19:32 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Aalborg
Tallinn
Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Saint Petersburg, Surgut, Syktyvkar
Stockholm
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (14.44nT), the direction is North (13.76nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-149nT)

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