Viewing archive of Wednesday, 16 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 16 1237 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Jan 2019 until 18 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Jan 2019070011
17 Jan 2019070013
18 Jan 2019070007

Bulletin

Solar X-ray flux remained below B level throughout the period. Some small spotted region seems to be emerging near N16W22 but X-ray flux is expected to continue to be below C level.

No earth directed CMEs have been recorded.

The proton flux levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind was slightly enhanced reaching a maximum of 432 km/s during the period but is now back around 360 km/s. Total magnetic field was mostly in the 3-9 nT range but mostly around a nominal 5nT with Bz variable. The magnetic field phi angle was in the negative sector. Solar wind is expected to be close to nominal with some minor enhancements possible.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (local K Dourbes 0-2 and NOAA Kp 1-2). Quiet conditions are expected over the next days with initially some unsettled periods possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst///
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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