Viewing archive of Thursday, 31 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 31 1242 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 31 Jan 2019 until 02 Feb 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
31 Jan 2019074017
01 Feb 2019072025
02 Feb 2019070011

Bulletin

No C-class flares in the past 24 hours, NOAA AR 2733 rotated over the west limb. There are no active regions visible. Eight B-class flares were observed (still from NOAA AR 2733), the strongest one was a B9.7 flare peaking at 17:05 UT on 30 January. Low solar activity is expected.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is at 350 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of 14 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet. Solar wind density, speed, temperature and magnetic field have been increasing since last night, together with a sector boundary crossing (from positive to negative magnetic field polarity), marking the arrival of the fast solar wind associated with a negative polarity equatorial coronal hole. Disturbed geomagnetic conditions (most likely up to K=5) are expected for the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 30 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania012
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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