Viewing archive of Wednesday, 9 October 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Oct 09 1236 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Oct 2019 until 11 Oct 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Oct 2019067013
10 Oct 2019067008
11 Oct 2019068004

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels, no significant flares have been recorded. The Sun remained spotless. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

The solar wind fluctuated around 385 km/s for most of the period and then began increasing, from 6 UT October 9, reaching up to 430 km/s (ACE). The total magnetic field fluctuated between 0 and 5 nT and then from 6 UT gradually increased to values up to 9 nT. Bz was mostly negative and varied between -7 and +3 nT.

Geomagnetic activity was quiet to unsettled for the first part of the period, following which active conditions were observed (Kp and local k index Dourbes = 4) between 9 and 12 UT October 9 due to an extended period of strong negative Bz.

Unsettled conditions are expected to continue with isolated active periods possible over the next 24 hours in response to further enhancements in the solar wind.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Oct 2019

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux067
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 22 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK

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