Viewing archive of Wednesday, 11 December 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Dec 11 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Dec 2019 until 13 Dec 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Dec 2019071006
12 Dec 2019070007
13 Dec 2019070007

Bulletin

Visible side of the solar disc is spotless. There were no flares reported for number of days and we do not expect any flaring activity in the coming hours. Narrow and slow, but well defined CME reported yesterday (observed in the SOHO LASCO C2 field of view at about 19:06 UT on December 09) was associated with the brightening and small dimming at about 18:11 UT (situate at S05 W25). It is not probable that this CME will arrive to the Earth. During last 24 hours there were no Earth directed CMEs and the solar protons remained at the background level.

The solar wind speed is presently about 420 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 5 nT. It is not completely clear what is the magnetic structure observed in the in situ data, and reported yesterday. It seems like the arrival of the weak ICME was followed yesterday afternoon by the solar wind originating from the negative polarity coronal hole. The structure observed in the solar wind data did not induced disturbed geomagnetic conditions. The narrow and extended equatorial coronal hole of negative polarity has reached central meridian yesterday evening. The fast solar wind associated with this coronal hole might arrive to the Earth late on December 14. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and we expect them to stay so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Dec 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Kuopio
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (531.1 km/sec.)

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