Viewing archive of Friday, 3 January 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Jan 03 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 03 Jan 2020 until 05 Jan 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
03 Jan 2020073006
04 Jan 2020073004
05 Jan 2020073004

Bulletin

New beta region NOAA 2755 has generated flaring at low A levels only during the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at only 5%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed near Earth as registered by ACE varied between about 315 and 390 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was directed predominantly towards the Sun, and its magnitude varied between about 0 and 10 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT for extended intervals. Nominal to slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on January 3, 4 and 5.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 014, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 02 Jan 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number012 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU, Yellowknife, NT
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.02

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