Issued: 2020 Feb 28 1231 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
28 Feb 2020 | 072 | 010 |
29 Feb 2020 | 072 | 006 |
01 Mar 2020 | 071 | 010 |
Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun is still spotless. A small active region close to the east limb at latitude S10 seems spotless, whereas another small region at latitude N25 is still at the east limb as seen in SDO/AIA imagery. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values. A small and irregularly shaped equatorial negative polarity coronal hole (CH) is present on the solar disk.
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
Solar wind conditions were at background levels. Solar wind speed declined from about 380 km/s at the beginning of the period to 330 km/s by 06:30UT, then increasing again to its current value around 350 km/s(ACE). Bz undulated between -4 and +4 nT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was mainly towards the Sun until around 06:30UT, when it switched towards predominantly a positive sector (away from the Sun). Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet levels, with an unsettled episode (09-12UT) recorded at Dourbes.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly at quiet levels, with an isolated unsettled interval remaining possible. Late on 29 February or during 01 March, geomagnetic conditions may become unsettled with a chance on an active episode following the expected arrival of a wind stream associated with the negative polarity CH.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 000 |
10cm solar flux | 071 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 002 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |